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Croatia national football team
World Cup | Third-Place Playoff
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
Morocco national football team

Croatia
2 - 1
Morocco

Gvardiol (7'), Orsic (42')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dari (9')
Ounahi (69'), Amallah (84')

The Match

Analysis

Sports Mole provides highlights, man of the match and stats from Croatia's 2-1 victory over Morocco in the 2022 World Cup third-place playoff.

Match Report

Croatia claim third spot at the 2022 World Cup courtesy of a 2-1 victory over fellow losing semi-finalists Morocco on Saturday.

Team News

Josko Gvardiol passes a fitness test to line up for Croatia against Morocco in the World Cup third-place playoff at the Khalifa International Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup clash between Croatia and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Morocco could line up for Saturday's World Cup 2022 third-placed playoff with Croatia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Croatia
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: France 2-0 Morocco
Wednesday, December 14 at 7pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
CroatiaDrawMorocco
38.8% (-0.863 -0.86) 27.99% (0.343 0.34) 33.21% (0.51900000000001 0.52)
Both teams to score 47.56% (-0.891 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.58% (-1.171 -1.17)58.42% (1.169 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.98% (-0.925 -0.92)79.02% (0.923 0.92)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (-1.063 -1.06)29.24% (1.062 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.8% (-1.328 -1.33)65.2% (1.326 1.33)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (-0.247 -0.25)32.78% (0.245 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (-0.274 -0.27)69.34% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Croatia 38.8%
    Morocco 33.21%
    Draw 27.98%
CroatiaDrawMorocco
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.175 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 38.8%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 9.59% (0.417 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 10.69% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.96% (0.182 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.21%

How you voted: Croatia vs Morocco

Croatia
49.4%
Morocco
50.6%
1124
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2022 10am
Build-up
Croatia players react during their penalty-shootout win over Brazil at the World Cup on December 9, 2022
Croatia vs Morocco: How do both squads compare ahead of World Cup clash?
Ahead of Saturday's third-place match between Croatia and Morocco, Sports Mole looks at how the squads compare between the two sides.
Dec 16, 22:08
Croatia coach Zlatko Dalic in September 2022
Zlatko Dalic: World Cup third-place playoff remains important for Croatia'
Zlatko Dalic insists that the World Cup third-place playoff versus Morocco remains important for Croatia, 24 years on from participating in their first bronze-medal tie.
Dec 16, 13:33
Morocco coach Walid Regragui in September 2022
Walid Regragui wants Morocco to end "priceless" World Cup on high note
Walid Regragui acknowledges that he wants Morocco to end their World Cup campaign on a high note as they prepare to face Croatia in the third-place playoff.
Dec 16, 12:44
Sofyan Amrabat makes a challenge for Morocco against Croatia in their World Cup game on November 23, 2022.
World Cup 2022: Croatia vs. Morocco head-to-head record
Ahead of Saturday's World Cup third-place playoff tie between Croatia and Morocco, Sports Mole looks at the head-to-head record between the two sides.
Dec 16, 12:30
Morocco celebrate beating Portugal in the World Cup quarter-finals on December, 2022.
World Cup 2022: Why to expect a low-scoring game between Croatia and Morocco
Ahead of Saturday's World Cup 2022 third-place playoff between Croatia and Morocco, Sports Mole looks at why to expect a low-scoring contest.
Dec 16, 11:29
Morocco celebrate beating Portugal in the World Cup quarter-finals on December, 2022.
World Cup 2022: Reasons for Morocco to be confident of beating Croatia
Ahead of Saturday's World Cup 2022 third-place playoff between Croatia and Morocco, Sports Mole looks at reasons for the Atlas Lions to be confident of victory.
Dec 16, 11:05
Croatia players react during their penalty-shootout win over Brazil at the World Cup on December 9, 2022
World Cup 2022: Reasons for Croatia to be confident of beating Morocco
Ahead of Saturday's World Cup 2022 third-place playoff between Croatia and Morocco, Sports Mole looks at reasons for Zlatko Dalic's side to be confident of victory.
Dec 16, 09:56
Morocco celebrate beating Portugal in the World Cup quarter-finals on December, 2022.
How Morocco could line up against Croatia
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Morocco could line up for Saturday's World Cup 2022 third-placed playoff with Croatia.
Dec 15, 10:57
Croatia's Josko Gvardiol pictured at the World Cup on December 9, 2022
How Croatia could line up against Morocco
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for Saturday's World Cup 2022 third-placed playoff with Morocco.
Dec 15, 10:47
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