World Cup | Semi-Finals
Dec 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Lusail Iconic Stadium
Argentina3 - 0Croatia
Reaction
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The Match
Analysis
Sports Mole provides highlights, man of the match and stats for Argentina's Lionel Messi-inspired 3-0 victory over Croatia in the World Cup semi-final.
Match Report
Argentina book their place in the 2022 World Cup final courtesy of a 3-0 semi-final victory against Croatia at the Lusail Stadium on Tuesday night.
Team News
Lionel Messi starts as Argentina make two changes for this evening's World Cup 2022 semi-final showdown against Croatia at the Lusail Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup clash between Argentina and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for Tuesday's World Cup 2022 semi-final with Argentina.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Argentina (3-4 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Croatia |
50.97% ( 0.05) | 25.88% ( -0.02) | 23.16% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.36% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
