World Cup | Semi-Finals
Dec 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Lusail Iconic Stadium
Argentina3 - 0Croatia
Reaction
Argentina forward Lionel Messi confirms final will be his last World Cup match
Argentina forward Lionel Messi confirms that Sunday's World Cup final will be his last appearance in the tournament.
2 years ago
Lionel Messi, Julian Alvarez react as Argentina reach 2022 World Cup final
Lionel Messi and Julian Alvarez express their delight after Argentina secured their place in the 2022 World Cup final courtesy of a 3-0 semi-final win against Croatia on Tuesday night.
2 years ago
Lionel Messi breaks fresh World Cup records, equals Diego Maradona mark in semi-final
Argentina's Lionel Messi breaks a string of World Cup records with a goal and an assist against Croatia, including equalling Diego Maradona's all-time assist mark.
2 years ago
The Match
Analysis
Sports Mole provides highlights, man of the match and stats for Argentina's Lionel Messi-inspired 3-0 victory over Croatia in the World Cup semi-final.
Match Report
Argentina book their place in the 2022 World Cup final courtesy of a 3-0 semi-final victory against Croatia at the Lusail Stadium on Tuesday night.
Team News
Lionel Messi starts as Argentina make two changes for this evening's World Cup 2022 semi-final showdown against Croatia at the Lusail Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup clash between Argentina and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for Tuesday's World Cup 2022 semi-final with Argentina.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Argentina (3-4 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Croatia |
50.97% ( 0.05) | 25.88% ( -0.02) | 23.16% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.36% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.38% ( 0.04) | 55.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( 0.03) | 76.78% ( -0.03) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( 0.04) | 21.88% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.87% ( 0.05) | 55.13% ( -0.06) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.63% ( -0.01) | 39.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.93% ( -0.01) | 76.07% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Argentina 50.96%
Croatia 23.16%
Draw 25.88%
| Argentina | Draw | Croatia |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 50.96% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 23.16% |
How you voted: Argentina vs Croatia
Argentina
68.7%Croatia
31.3%2697
Form Guide
Build-up
World Cup 2022: Argentina vs. Croatia head-to-head record
Ahead of Tuesday's World Cup semi-final clash between Argentina and Croatia, Sports Mole looks at the head-to-head record between the two sides.
2 years ago
Argentina vs. Croatia: How do both squads compare ahead of World Cup clash?
Ahead of Friday's World Cup meeting between Argentina and Croatia, Sports Mole looks at how both squads compare, including their most valuable and top-scoring players.
2 years ago
Argentina vs. Croatia: Who could be the key men in World Cup semi-final?
Ahead of Tuesday's World Cup semi-final between Argentina and Croatia, Sports Mole looks at which players could prove to be decisive for both sides in Qatar.
2 years ago
Zlatko Dalic: 'Croatia's 2018 World Cup win over Argentina now irrelevant'
Zlatko Dalic insists that Croatia's emphatic 3-0 win over Argentina will have no baring on Tuesday's World Cup semi-final.
2 years ago
Argentina boss Lionel Scaloni "We've analysed where we can hurt Croatia"
Lionel Scaloni believes that he has discovered a way that his Argentina side can "hurt" Croatia in Tuesday's World Cup 2022 semi-final clash at the Lusail Stadium.
2 years ago
Argentina's Lionel Messi looking to break four World Cup records against Croatia
Lionel Messi will be looking to break four World Cup records when his Argentina side lock horns with Croatia in Tuesday's semi-final clash at the Lusail Stadium.
2 years ago
World Cup 2022: Why to expect a goal contribution from Argentina's Lionel Messi against Croatia
Ahead of Tuesday's 2022 World Cup semi-final between Argentina and Croatia, Sports Mole looks at why Lionel Messi is expected to contribute to a goal at the Lusail Stadium.
2 years ago
World Cup 2022: Reasons for Croatia to be confident of beating Argentina
Ahead of Tuesday's 2022 World Cup semi-final between Argentina and Croatia, Sports Mole looks at three reasons why Croatia can be confident of securing their place in the final.
2 years ago
World Cup 2022: Reasons for Argentina to be confident of beating Croatia
Ahead of Tuesday's 2022 World Cup semi-final between Argentina and Croatia, Sports Mole looks at three reasons why Argentina can be confident of securing their place in the final.
2 years ago
How Croatia could line up against Argentina
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for Tuesday's World Cup 2022 semi-final with Argentina.
2 years ago
How Argentina could line up against Croatia
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's World Cup 2022 semi-final with Croatia.
2 years ago
Argentina's Gonzalo Montiel, Marcos Acuna to miss World Cup semi-final with Croatia
Argentina full-backs Gonzalo Montiel and Marcos Acuna will miss next Tuesday's 2022 World Cup semi-final with Croatia due to suspension.
2 years ago
