World Cup | Last 16
Dec 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Al Janoub Stadium
Japan1 - 1Croatia
The Match
Match Report
Croatia beat Japan on penalties following a 1-1 draw to book their spot in the quarter-finals of the 2022 World Cup.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup clash between Japan and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for Monday's World Cup 2022 last-16 clash with Japan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Japan 2-1 Spain
Thursday, December 1 at 7pm in World Cup
Thursday, December 1 at 7pm in World Cup
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 41.51%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 28.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (11.32%).
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Croatia |
41.51% ( -0.21) | 29.6% ( 0.06) | 28.89% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 41.84% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.17% ( -0.12) | 64.83% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.23% ( -0.08) | 83.77% ( 0.09) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( -0.18) | 30.85% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.87% ( -0.21) | 67.14% ( 0.22) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% ( 0.06) | 39.49% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.82% ( 0.06) | 76.18% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Japan 41.5%
Croatia 28.89%
Draw 29.6%
| Japan | Draw | Croatia |
| 1-0 @ 14.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.26% Total : 41.5% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.6% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 28.89% |
How you voted: Japan vs Croatia
Japan
58.8%Croatia
41.2%1731
Form Guide
Build-up
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Japan will be looking to end a number of World Cup streaks when they square off against Croatia in the last 16 on Monday.
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How Croatia could line up against Japan
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for Monday's World Cup 2022 last-16 clash with Japan.
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How Japan could line up against Croatia
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Japan could line up for Monday's World Cup 2022 last-16 clash with Croatia.
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