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World Cup
Cuba national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Manuel Berruezo
Cayman Islands national football team

Cuba
C-C
Cayman Islands

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Cuba and Cayman Islands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuba

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Honduras 3-1 Cuba
Friday, June 7 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Cayman Islands

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Cayman Islands 1-0 Antigua
Sunday, June 9 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

We said: Cuba 1-0 Cayman Islands

 Confidence is high for the Cayman Islands following that dramatic opening victory, but we have difficulty believing they will generate many chances against a defensive unit as solid as the Cubans usually are. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Cayman Islands had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Cayman Islands win it was 0-1 (5.46%).

Result
CubaDrawCayman Islands
61.22% (-1.929 -1.93) 21.82% (0.693 0.69) 16.96% (1.235 1.24)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.461 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-0.76000000000001 -0.76)47.27% (0.759 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.711 -0.71)69.49% (0.709 0.71)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.05% (-0.857 -0.86)14.94% (0.856 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.65% (-1.648 -1.65)43.35% (1.648 1.65)
Cayman Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.76% (1.123 1.12)41.24% (-1.123 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.23% (0.978 0.98)77.77% (-0.979 -0.98)
Score Analysis
    Cuba 61.21%
    Cayman Islands 16.97%
    Draw 21.81%
CubaDrawCayman Islands
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.13% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.06% (-0.433 -0.43)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.316 -0.32)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.163 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 61.21%
1-1 @ 10.37% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.81%
0-1 @ 5.46% (0.332 0.33)
1-2 @ 4.6% (0.281 0.28)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.216 0.22)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.122 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 16.97%

How you voted: Cuba vs Cayman Islands

Cuba
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Cayman Islands
66.7%
9
rhs 2.0
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