World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
Honduras3 - 1Cuba
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 27 at 1am in International Friendlies
Wednesday, March 27 at 1am in International Friendlies
We said: Honduras 2-0 Cuba
During the previous Nations League campaign, the Cubans showed that they are a challenging team to break down defensively but have yet to impress when in possession versus some of the stronger CONCACAF sides, which is why we project a tight match but a narrow victory for the Hondurans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 84.86%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 4.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.74%) and 1-0 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.13%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Cuba |
84.86% ( 0.55) | 10.96% ( -0.18) | 4.17% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 35.75% ( -2.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
