CONCACAF Nations League | League C

Nov 20, 2023 at 7pm UK

Compleho Deportivo Guillermo Prospero Trinidad

Aruba
5 - 1
Cayman Islands

Groothusen (16', 89'), Ostiana (45+5'), Maria (55'), Dania (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Studenthofft (49')
Dain Alexander (50')
Dain Alexander (68')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Aruba and Cayman Islands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aruba

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: US Virgin Islands 1-4 Aruba
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cayman Islands	0	0	0
2	US Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Aruba	0	0	0

Cayman Islands

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Cayman Islands 2-1 US Virgin Islands
Tuesday, October 17 at 9.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cayman Islands	0	0	0
2	US Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Aruba	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Cayman Islands had a probability of 10.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.66%), while for a Cayman Islands win it was 1-2 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aruba would win this match.

Result
Aruba	Draw	Cayman Islands
76.32% ( -0.3)	13.6% ( 0.14)	10.08% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 60.92% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.94% (

-0.23)

24.06% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.32% (

-0.3)

43.68% (

0.3)

Aruba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.78% (

-0.09)

5.21% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.38% (

-0.28)

20.62% (

0.28)

Cayman Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.27% (

0.1)

35.72% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.5% (

0.11)

72.5% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Aruba 76.32%

Cayman Islands 10.08%

Draw 13.6%

Aruba	Draw	Cayman Islands
2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) 6-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.33% Total : 76.32%	1-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 13.6%	1-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 10.08%