MX23RW : Friday, November 8 18:50:16| >> :60:2:2:
Aruba national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Nov 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Compleho Deportivo Guillermo Prospero Trinidad
Cayman Islands national football team

Aruba
5 - 1
Cayman Islands

Groothusen (16', 89'), Ostiana (45+5'), Maria (55'), Dania (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Studenthofft (49')
Dain Alexander (50')
Dain Alexander (68')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Aruba and Cayman Islands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aruba

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: US Virgin Islands 1-4 Aruba
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Cayman Islands

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cayman Islands 2-1 US Virgin Islands
Tuesday, October 17 at 9.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Cayman Islands had a probability of 10.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.66%), while for a Cayman Islands win it was 1-2 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aruba would win this match.

Result
ArubaDrawCayman Islands
76.32% (-0.3 -0.3) 13.6% (0.142 0.14) 10.08% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 60.92% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.94% (-0.226 -0.23)24.06% (0.227 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.32% (-0.3 -0.3)43.68% (0.302 0.3)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.78% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)5.21% (0.0949 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.38% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)20.62% (0.281 0.28)
Cayman Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27% (0.104 0.1)35.72% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.5% (0.107 0.11)72.5% (-0.10499999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Aruba 76.32%
    Cayman Islands 10.08%
    Draw 13.6%
ArubaDrawCayman Islands
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 6.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.91% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.5% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.24% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.49% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 3.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.85% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.77% (-0.033 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.72% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-2 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 76.32%
1-1 @ 5.66% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 1.86% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 13.6%
1-2 @ 2.92% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 1.92% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 0.99% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 10.08%

Head to Head
Sep 11, 2023 9.30pm
League C
Cayman Islands
1-2
Aruba
Lentink (6' og.)
Nunez (85'), Bonilla (85')
Ostiana (2'), Baly (79')
Baly (15'), Jacobs (90')
Baly (85')
Jun 2, 2021 11pm
First Round
Cayman Islands
1-3
Aruba
Ebanks (30' pen.)
Holness (34'), Campbell (86')
John (40', 75'), Groothusen (45+2')
Pereira (52')
rhs 2.0
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