CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 16, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
Honduras4 - 0Cuba
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cuba 0-0 Honduras
Friday, October 13 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, October 13 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: Honduras 1-0 Cuba
Frustration must be high in Honduras after the Cubans stifled them throughout the 90 minutes on matchday three. However, there are some experienced attacking players in the fold with La H who have overcome adversity before, and we believe they will find a way to get the job done against what could be another all-out defensive outing by their opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 13.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Cuba |
66.37% ( -0.64) | 20.49% ( 0.13) | 13.14% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 45.05% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
