Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 82.91%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 4-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.19%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
0.28) 
-0.09) 
