British Virgin I.

1 - 2

Dominica

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 75.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 9.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.83%) and 0-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-0 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominica would win this match.