
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Ecuador1 - 2Senegal
The Match
Match Report
Kalidou Koulibaly clinches a vital win for Senegal in their World Cup 2022 winner-takes-all encounter with Ecuador.
Team News
Enner Valencia shakes off a knee issue to represent Ecuador against Senegal in their pivotal Group A fixture at the World Cup.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup clash between Ecuador and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Senegal could line up for Tuesday's World Cup clash with Ecuador at the Khalifa Interational Stadium
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 1-1 Ecuador
Friday, November 25 at 4pm in World Cup
Friday, November 25 at 4pm in World Cup
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ecuador | 2 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Netherlands | 2 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Senegal | 2 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Qatar | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Qatar 1-3 Senegal
Friday, November 25 at 1pm in World Cup
Friday, November 25 at 1pm in World Cup
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ecuador | 2 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Netherlands | 2 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Senegal | 2 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Qatar | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
Result | ||
Ecuador | Draw | Senegal |
32.13% (![]() | 28.5% (![]() | 39.37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.58% (![]() | 60.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.44% (![]() | 80.55% (![]() |
Ecuador Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.41% (![]() | 34.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.69% (![]() | 71.31% (![]() |
Senegal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.11% (![]() | 29.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.01% (![]() | 65.99% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ecuador 32.12%
Senegal 39.37%
Draw 28.48%
Ecuador | Draw | Senegal |
1-0 @ 10.97% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 2.23% Total : 32.12% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.33% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 12.48% (![]() 1-2 @ 8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.49% Total : 39.37% |
How you voted: Ecuador vs Senegal
Ecuador
46.3%Draw
25.6%Senegal
28.2%1260
Form Guide
Build-up

World Cup 2022: Ecuador vs. Senegal head-to-head record
Ahead of Tuesday's World Cup clash between Ecuador and Senegal, Sports Mole looks at the head-to-head record between the two sides.
2 years ago

Ecuador vs. Senegal: How do both squads compare ahead of World Cup clash?
Ahead of Tuesday's World Cup meeting between Ecuador and Senegal, Sports Mole looks at how both squads compare, including their most valuable and top-scoring players.
2 years ago

Ecuador, Senegal looking to end World Cup streaks
Ecuador and Senegal will each be looking to end streaks at the World Cup when they square off at the Khalifa International Stadium on Tuesday.
2 years ago

World Cup 2022: Reasons for Senegal to be confident of beating Ecuador
Here, Sports Mole look at some reasons for Senegal to be confident of picking up a win against Ecuador and securing their place in the last 16 of the World Cup.
2 years ago

World Cup 2022: Reasons for Ecuador to be confident of beating Senegal
Ahead of this winner-takes-all clash, Sports Mole looks at some reasons for Ecuador to be confident of beating Senegal and reaching the knockout stages.
2 years ago

How Senegal could line up against Ecuador
Sports Mole looks at how Senegal could line up for Tuesday's World Cup clash with Ecuador at the Khalifa Interational Stadium
2 years ago

How Ecuador could line up against Senegal
Sports Mole looks at how Ecuador could line up for Tuesday's World Cup clash with Senegal at the Khalifa International Stadium.
2 years ago