World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2022 at 4pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
Qatar0 - 2Ecuador
The Match
Analysis
Sports Mole analyses the World Cup opener between Qatar and Ecuador, which saw the South American outfit run out comfortable winners.
Match Report
A double from Enner Valencia earns Ecuador a 2-0 win over Qatar in Sunday's World Cup opener at the Al Bayt Stadium.
Team News
Qatar and Ecuador confirm their starting lineups for the opening match at the World Cup.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup clash between Qatar and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Ecuador could line up for Sunday's World Cup 2022 Group A clash with Qatar .
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Qatar 1-0 Albania
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ecuador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Iraq
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ecuador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 44.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 27.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Qatar win it was 1-0 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | Ecuador |
27.41% ( -1.83) | 27.67% ( -0.29) | 44.92% ( 2.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.06% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.84% ( 0.23) | 59.15% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.41% ( 0.18) | 79.59% ( -0.18) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.46% ( -1.34) | 37.54% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.68% ( -1.34) | 74.32% ( 1.34) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( 1.22) | 26.26% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.63% ( 1.6) | 61.36% ( -1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
Qatar 27.41%
Ecuador 44.92%
Draw 27.67%
| Qatar | Draw | Ecuador |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.41% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.51)1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.92% |
How you voted: Qatar vs Ecuador
Qatar
40.3%Draw
16.9%Ecuador
42.8%2393
Head to Head
Form Guide
Build-up
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