World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2022 at 1pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
Qatar1 - 3Senegal
The Match
Match Report
Senegal survive a second-half rally from Qatar to record a 3-1 win over the World Cup hosts in Doha.
Team News
Famara Diedhiou is brought into the Senegal attack for Friday's World Cup game with Qatar in Doha.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup clash between Qatar and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Senegal could line up against Qatar in their World Cup clash on Friday.
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup
Last Game: Qatar 0-2 Ecuador
Sunday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup
Sunday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ecuador | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Senegal | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Qatar | 1 | -2 | 0 |
World Cup
Last Game: Senegal 0-2 Netherlands
Monday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup
Monday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ecuador | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Senegal | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Qatar | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Qatar win it was 1-0 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | Senegal |
20.92% ( 1.92) | 26.38% ( 0.81) | 52.7% ( -2.72) |
| Both teams to score 43.47% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.65% ( -0.73) | 59.35% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.26% ( -0.56) | 79.74% ( 0.57) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.23% ( 1.73) | 43.77% ( -1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.07% ( 1.39) | 79.94% ( -1.38) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( -1.45) | 22.69% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.66% ( -2.2) | 56.35% ( 2.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Qatar 20.92%
Senegal 52.69%
Draw 26.38%
| Qatar | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.92% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 14.73% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 10.92% ( -0.67)1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.59)1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 2% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.65% Total : 52.69% |
How you voted: Qatar vs Senegal
Qatar
15.9%Draw
11.9%Senegal
72.2%717
Form Guide
Build-up
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