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Latvia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 1, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Gibraltar national football team

Latvia
3 - 1
Gibraltar

Gutkovskis (50' pen., 85'), Cigaņiks (89')
Cernomordijs (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Barr (71' pen.)
Bosio (6'), Annesley (38'), Luis Chipolina (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Latvia and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 47.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.

Result
LatviaDrawGibraltar
47.47%26.39%26.15%
Both teams to score 48.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74%55.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.51%76.49%
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71%23.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77%57.23%
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53%36.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74%73.26%
Score Analysis
    Latvia 47.46%
    Gibraltar 26.15%
    Draw 26.38%
LatviaDrawGibraltar
1-0 @ 12.37%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 47.46%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 8.57%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 26.15%

How you voted: Latvia vs Gibraltar

Latvia
79.2%
Draw
11.3%
Gibraltar
9.4%
106
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