We said: Lebanon 0-0 Iraq
Lebanon are well-structured and capable of holding teams for long periods of time, but we do not believe that they are able to possess the ball enough to create a sufficient amount of scoring opportunities and earn three points. Iraq may be a better side than their record currently indicates, however, a lack of quality and experience in the attack has plagued them in this current campaign, and we expect that trend to continue in this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Lebanon | Draw | Iraq |
35.68% | 27.27% | 37.05% |
Both teams to score 50.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% | 55.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% | 76.65% |
Lebanon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.32% | 29.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.27% | 65.73% |
Iraq Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.16% | 28.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.3% | 64.7% |
Score Analysis |
Lebanon 35.67%
Iraq 37.05%
Draw 27.26%
Lebanon | Draw | Iraq |
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.67% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.05% |
How you voted: Lebanon vs Iraq
Lebanon
19.0%Draw
59.5%Iraq
21.4%42
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2021 3.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-03 01:56:41
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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