We said: Lebanon 0-2 South Korea
Even without two of their attacking stars, South Korea are a dangerous proposition, and we expect them to continue their fine run with another victory on Thursday. On the back of two confidence-building victories, and with a World Cup place in their sights, Bento's side will be tough to stop and should take all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 51%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for South Korea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for South Korea.
| Result | ||
| Lebanon | Draw | South Korea |
| 24.58% | 24.42% | 51% |
| Both teams to score 53.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% | 48.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% | 70.78% |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% | 34.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.08% | 70.92% |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% | 19.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.3% | 50.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lebanon | Draw | South Korea |
| 1-0 @ 7% 2-1 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.2% Total : 24.58% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 8.96% 1-3 @ 5.3% 0-3 @ 4.95% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.1% Total : 50.99% |
