World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 12, 2021 at 5pm UK
Syria2 - 3Lebanon
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Syria | Draw | Lebanon |
| 41.55% | 26.04% | 32.4% |
| Both teams to score 53.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
