World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 12, 2021 at 5pm UK
Syria2 - 3Lebanon
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Syria | Draw | Lebanon |
| 41.55% | 26.04% | 32.4% |
| Both teams to score 53.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.14% | 72.86% |
| Syria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% | 24.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.34% | 58.65% |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% | 29.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.4% | 65.6% |
| Score Analysis |
Syria 41.55%
Lebanon 32.4%
Draw 26.04%
| Syria | Draw | Lebanon |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.4% |
How you voted: Syria vs Lebanon
Syria
58.7%Draw
30.4%Lebanon
10.9%46
