World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 17, 2021 at 1.05am UK
Panama2 - 1El Salvador
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | El Salvador |
| 54.64% | 23.91% | 21.45% |
| Both teams to score 51.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
