World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 10, 2021 at 11.05pm UK
Costa Rica2 - 1El Salvador
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Costa Rica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | El Salvador |
| 44.17% | 24.44% | 31.4% |
| Both teams to score 58.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
