World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 3.05am UK
El Salvador1 - 0Panama
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Panama had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for El Salvador in this match.
| Result | ||
| El Salvador | Draw | Panama |
| 45.89% | 26.34% | 27.77% |
| Both teams to score 50.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
