Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.