Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 90.6%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Yemen had a probability of 1.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.84%) and 4-0 (12.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.33%), while for a Yemen win it was 0-1 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Saudi Arabia in this match.