World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 5, 2024 at 10pm UK
Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion
Suriname4 - 1St Vincent & Gr.
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Suriname and Saint Vincent & the Grenadines.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Martinique
Sunday, March 24 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, March 24 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Grenada 0-3 St Vincent & Gr.
Sunday, May 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, May 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 11.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 1-2 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Suriname | Draw | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines |
71.98% ( 0.49) | 16.81% ( -0.36) | 11.21% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
