World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 12.30am UK
USA2 - 0Jamaica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Jamaica |
| 54.85% | 25.41% | 19.74% |
| Both teams to score 44.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
