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USA national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 6, 2021 at 1am UK
 
Canada national football team

USA
1 - 1
Canada

Aaronson (55')
Siebatcheu (29'), Brooks (32'), Adams (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Larin (62')
Laryea (28'), Kaye (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between USA and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Canada had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
USADrawCanada
50.89%24.01%25.09%
Both teams to score 55.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51%46.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.23%68.77%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64%49.36%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38%32.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84%69.16%
Score Analysis
    USA 50.89%
    Canada 25.09%
    Draw 24.01%
USADrawCanada
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 50.89%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.68%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 25.09%

How you voted: USA vs Canada

USA
71.2%
Draw
16.7%
Canada
12.1%
66
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
USA
1-0
Canada
Moore (1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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