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Costa Rica national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 9, 2021 at 2am UK
 
Jamaica national football team

Costa Rica
1 - 1
Jamaica

Marin (3')
Ruiz (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nicholson (47')
Burke (45+2'), Lowe (83'), Turgott (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Costa Rica and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Costa RicaDrawJamaica
42.34%23.72%33.94%
Both teams to score 61.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96%40.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6%62.4%
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77%19.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07%50.93%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65%23.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69%57.31%
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 42.34%
    Jamaica 33.94%
    Draw 23.71%
Costa RicaDrawJamaica
2-1 @ 8.88%
1-0 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 42.34%
1-1 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 6.46%
0-0 @ 4.49%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.94%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Jamaica

Costa Rica
65.6%
Draw
23.0%
Jamaica
11.5%
61
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Costa Rica
1-0
Jamaica
Gerardo Moreira Ledezma (72')
Fisher (78')
Mar 27, 2019 2am
International Friendlies
Costa Rica
1-0
Jamaica
Fuller (28')
Matarrita (40')
Jul 9, 2015 1am
Group Stage
Costa Rica
2-2
Jamaica
Miller (33'), Ramírez (37')
McCleary (13'), McAnuff (48')
Watson (64')
rhs 2.0
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