World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2021 at 9.30pm UK
Venezuela2 - 1Ecuador
Machis (45+1'), Bello (64')
Rincon (45+4'), Moreno (87'), Aristeguieta (90+4'), Andres Martinez (90+5')
Rincon (45+4'), Moreno (87'), Aristeguieta (90+4'), Andres Martinez (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.
Result | ||
Venezuela | Draw | Ecuador |
40.18% | 26.85% | 32.97% |
Both teams to score 50.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.84% | 54.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.43% | 75.57% |
Venezuela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.56% | 26.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.39% | 61.61% |
Ecuador Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% | 30.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.96% | 67.04% |
Score Analysis |
Venezuela 40.17%
Ecuador 32.97%
Draw 26.85%
Venezuela | Draw | Ecuador |
1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.97% |
How you voted: Venezuela vs Ecuador
Venezuela
15.3%Draw
12.5%Ecuador
72.2%72
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2019 2am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-24 16:14:19
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 31 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 |
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