![Venezuela national football team Venezuela national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/venlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2021 at 9.30pm UK
![Ecuador national football team Ecuador national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/eculog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Venezuela2 - 1Ecuador
Machis (45+1'), Bello (64')
Rincon (45+4'), Moreno (87'), Aristeguieta (90+4'), Andres Martinez (90+5')
Rincon (45+4'), Moreno (87'), Aristeguieta (90+4'), Andres Martinez (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.
Result | ||
Venezuela | Draw | Ecuador |
40.18% | 26.85% | 32.97% |
Both teams to score 50.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.84% | 54.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.43% | 75.57% |
Venezuela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.56% | 26.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.39% | 61.61% |
Ecuador Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% | 30.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.96% | 67.04% |
Score Analysis |
Venezuela 40.17%
Ecuador 32.97%
Draw 26.85%
Venezuela | Draw | Ecuador |
1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.97% |
How you voted: Venezuela vs Ecuador
Venezuela
15.3%Draw
12.5%Ecuador
72.2%72
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2019 2am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-01 00:55:42
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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7
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10
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