World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Ecuador3 - 0Bolivia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.11%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Bolivia |
| 63.83% | 23.01% | 13.16% |
| Both teams to score 38.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
