World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
Uruguay1 - 0Ecuador
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 11.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.35%) and 3-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.17%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 20.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Ecuador |
| 62.74% | 25.32% | 11.93% |
| Both teams to score 30.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.07% | 66.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.78% | 85.22% |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% | 21.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.11% | 54.89% |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.36% | 60.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 9.03% | 90.97% |
| Score Analysis |
Uruguay 62.74%
Ecuador 11.93%
Draw 25.32%
| Uruguay | Draw | Ecuador |
| 1-0 @ 20.11% 2-0 @ 15.35% 3-0 @ 7.81% 2-1 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.91% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.51% Total : 62.74% | 0-0 @ 13.17% 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 6.59% 1-2 @ 2.52% 0-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 1.18% Total : 11.93% |
How you voted: Uruguay vs Ecuador
Uruguay
60.8%Draw
20.3%Ecuador
19.0%158
Head to Head
