Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.97%) and 0-2 (5.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
37.22% (![]() | 22.79% (![]() | 39.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.17% (![]() | 34.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.2% (![]() | 56.8% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% (![]() | 19.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.95% (![]() | 51.05% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% (![]() | 18.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.02% (![]() | 48.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 8.07% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.45% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 9.82% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 8.4% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 33 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 31 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
5 | Macarthur | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |