Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
52.34% (![]() | 21.11% (![]() | 26.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.47% (![]() | 31.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.98% (![]() | 53.01% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.57% (![]() | 12.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.66% (![]() | 38.34% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.42% (![]() | 23.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.35% (![]() | 57.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.2% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 52.34% | 1-1 @ 8.83% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 6.38% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 33 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 31 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
5 | Macarthur | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |