Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
25.78% (![]() | 22.83% (![]() | 51.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.42% (![]() | 40.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.04% (![]() | 62.95% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% (![]() | 28.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% (![]() | 64.79% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.08% (![]() | 15.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.84% (![]() | 45.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 6.51% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 3.39% Total : 25.78% | 1-1 @ 10.49% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.6% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 9.64% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 33 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 31 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
5 | Macarthur | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
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