Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
46.18% (![]() | 24.24% (![]() | 29.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.98% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.67% (![]() | 44.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.3% (![]() | 66.7% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.66% (![]() | 19.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.89% (![]() | 51.11% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% (![]() | 28.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.2% (![]() | 63.8% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.31% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.94% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 3.16% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 11.33% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.19% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 33 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 31 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
5 | Macarthur | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |