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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 16, 2022 at 8.45am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Newcastle Jets
0 - 1
Brisbane Roar


Buhagiar (24'), Jenkinson (58'), Hoffman (89'), Mikeltadze (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mileusnic (80')
Hingert (65'), Knowles (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, December 11 at 4am in Australian A-League

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Adelaide United
Friday, December 9 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Brisbane Roar

 Brisbane Roar have found a way to grind out results away from home, where they have picked up four wins and one draw from their last six matches. However, Newcastle Jets will head into the weekend with renewed confidence following Sunday's victory over the Mariners. We predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawBrisbane Roar
36.33% (0.269 0.27) 24.69% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 38.98% (-0.225 -0.23)
Both teams to score 58.85% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (0.239 0.24)44.23% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.231 0.23)66.6% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (0.256 0.26)23.97% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79% (0.365 0.37)58.21% (-0.366 -0.37)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)56.2% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 36.33%
    Brisbane Roar 38.98%
    Draw 24.68%
Newcastle JetsDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 36.33%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.98%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar

Newcastle Jets
50.0%
Draw
29.5%
Brisbane Roar
20.5%
44
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 7.05am
Brisbane Roar
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Hore (83'), Ivanovic (90+3')
O'Shea (8'), Hore (21'), Akbari (59'), Daley (66'), Aldred (89')

Murnane (25'), Siatravanis (41'), Mauragis (67'), Jurman (72')
Mauragis (80')
Feb 3, 2022 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
2-1
Brisbane Roar
Freke (22' og.), Thurgate (70')
Hoffman (33'), Elsey (79'), Duncan (85')
Lescano (64')
Daley (45'), Brown (68'), Hingert (72'), Trewin (90+3')
May 21, 2021 10.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Brisbane Roar
O'Shea (61' og.)
Hoffman (42'), Boogaard (54')
Danzaki (34'), O'Shea (73')
Gillesphey (21'), Neville (82')
Feb 14, 2021 7.10am
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Newcastle Jets

Daley (65'), Aldred (75')

Prso (57'), O'Donovan (81')
Jan 20, 2021 8.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Brisbane Roar
Yuel (38')
O'Donovan (2'), Boogaard (59')
Danzaki (6'), Wenzel-Halls (61')
rhs 2.0
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