Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
40.1% (![]() | 24.13% (![]() | 35.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.34% (![]() | 41.66% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.94% (![]() | 64.06% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.08% (![]() | 20.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.35% (![]() | 53.65% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% (![]() | 23.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.05% (![]() | 56.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.67% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 11.08% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.12% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 33 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 31 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
5 | Macarthur | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |