Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.