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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
vs.
Swansea

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Watford 2-1 Swansea City

 Becoming accustomed to playing most Tuesdays and Wednesdays is important for any EFL club, but these two sides have struggled in that regard of late, both falling to defeat in their previous four midweek league games. Something has to give here, and even though they were beaten on this pitch just four days ago, Watford will be the slight favourites, and should be able to close the gap on the top six slightly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 31.48% and a draw has a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.81%).

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
41.5% (0.844 0.84) 27.02% (0.106 0.11) 31.48% (-0.949 -0.95)
Both teams to score 49.95% (-0.638 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (-0.667 -0.67)55.17% (0.668 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (-0.552 -0.55)76.41% (0.554 0.55)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.14400000000001 0.14)26.2% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (0.193 0.19)61.29% (-0.191 -0.19)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (-0.99799999999999 -1)32.31% (1 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (-1.144 -1.14)68.81% (1.145 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Watford 41.49%
    Swansea City 31.48%
    Draw 27.02%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.255 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.127 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 41.49%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 9.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 31.48%

Who will win Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea?

Watford
Draw
Swansea City
Watford
11.1%
Draw
33.3%
Swansea City
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 14
Swansea
1-0
Watford
Peart-Harris (35')
Grimes (40'), Franco (44'), Peart-Harris (79')

Ebosele (26'), Sierralta (45')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Watford
1-1
Swansea
Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730
> Championship Full Table


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