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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 11, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Independiente Rivadavia

Merentiel (51'), Zeballos (83')
Costa (15'), Velasco (50'), Di Lollo (58'), Alarcon (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Villalba (58'), Fernandez (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Independiente Rivadavia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, February 9 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 2-2 Estudiantes
Saturday, February 8 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 14.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
62.02% (0.297 0.3) 23.76% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 14.21% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 38.9% (-0.284 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)59% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.53% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)79.47% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.070999999999998 0.07)18.82% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (0.121 0.12)50.25% (-0.12 -0.12)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.91% (-0.391 -0.39)52.09% (0.392 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.94% (-0.256 -0.26)86.06% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 62.01%
    Independiente Rivadavia 14.21%
    Draw 23.76%
Boca JuniorsDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 16.37% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 13.67% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.61% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 62.01%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.8% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.91% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.48% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 14.21%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia

Boca Juniors
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Independiente Rivadavia
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 10.45pm
Gameweek 10
Independiente Rivadavia
1-1
Boca Juniors
Villalba (77')
Romero (40'), Gomez (84'), Ostchega (90+3')
Medina (90+5')
Medel (39'), Figal (43'), Romero (83')
rhs 2.0
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