Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Aug 18, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Boca Juniors3 - 2San Lorenzo
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Cruzeiro
Friday, August 16 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, August 16 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, August 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, August 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.63%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.38%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | San Lorenzo |
57.74% ( -0.12) | 27.09% ( 0.14) | 15.18% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 33.62% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
