Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 4, 2024 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate5 - 0Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-2 River Plate
Thursday, February 1 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, February 1 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Independiente
Wednesday, January 31 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, January 31 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
52.97% ( -1.3) | 26.52% ( 0.59) | 20.52% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 42.63% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
