MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 04:53:42| >> :600:25789401:25789401:
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Asian Cup
Iraq national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 24, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
Vietnam national football team

Iraq
3 - 2
Vietnam

Sulaka (47'), Hussein (73', 90+12' pen.)
Madjed (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anh Bui Hoang (42'), Hai Nguyen (90+1')
Khang Khuat (6'), Son Nguyen (45+4'), Anh Bui Hoang (82')
Khang Khuat (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Asian Cup clash between Iraq and Vietnam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Iraq 2-1 Japan
Friday, January 19 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Vietnam

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Vietnam 0-1 Indonesia
Friday, January 19 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: Iraq 1-0 Vietnam

 Vietnam are in a slump, while their upcoming opponents are on a roll and riding high after what they achieved on matchday two, and we expect to see Iraq maintain that momentum and win comfortably on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Vietnam had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Vietnam win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.

Result
IraqDrawVietnam
60.32% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06) 20.67% (-0.032 -0.03) 19% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 57.83% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19% (0.303 0.3)38.8% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88% (0.319 0.32)61.11% (-0.319 -0.32)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5% (0.077999999999989 0.08)12.49% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.52% (0.161 0.16)38.48% (-0.161 -0.16)
Vietnam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (0.274 0.27)33.91% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.295 0.3)70.58% (-0.295 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 60.32%
    Vietnam 19%
    Draw 20.67%
IraqDrawVietnam
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.93% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 60.32%
1-1 @ 9.53% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.67%
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 19%

How you voted: Iraq vs Vietnam

Iraq
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Vietnam
8.3%
60
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 12pm
Second Round
Vietnam
0-1
Iraq

Anh Nguyen (48'), Vo Minh (54'), Van Lam (88'), Son Nguyen (89'), Bac Nguyen (90+6')
Ali (90+7')
Ali (90+8')
Mar 25, 2020 11pm
International Friendlies
Vietnam
P-P
Iraq
Mar 25, 2020 11pm
Friendlies 3
Vietnam
P-P
Iraq
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