Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 24, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
Iraq3 - 2Vietnam
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anh Bui Hoang (42'), Hai Nguyen (90+1')
Khang Khuat (6'), Son Nguyen (45+4'), Anh Bui Hoang (82')
Khang Khuat (45+4')
Khang Khuat (6'), Son Nguyen (45+4'), Anh Bui Hoang (82')
Khang Khuat (45+4')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iraq 2-1 Japan
Friday, January 19 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Friday, January 19 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Iraq | 2 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Japan | 2 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Indonesia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
4 | Vietnam | 2 | -3 | 0 |
We said: Iraq 1-0 Vietnam
Vietnam are in a slump, while their upcoming opponents are on a roll and riding high after what they achieved on matchday two, and we expect to see Iraq maintain that momentum and win comfortably on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Vietnam had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Vietnam win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.
Result | ||
Iraq | Draw | Vietnam |
60.32% ( -0.06) | 20.67% ( -0.03) | 19% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 57.83% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.19% ( 0.3) | 38.8% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.88% ( 0.32) | 61.11% ( -0.32) |
Iraq Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.5% ( 0.08) | 12.49% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.52% ( 0.16) | 38.48% ( -0.16) |
Vietnam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.09% ( 0.27) | 33.91% ( -0.27) |