MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 06:30:39| >> :120:17122:17122:
[monks data]
Birmingham logo
Championship | Gameweek 18
Dec 12, 2020 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Watford logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Watford


Kieftenbeld (15'), Pedersen (57')
Pedersen (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Deeney (85' pen.)
Capoue (90+1')

Preview: Birmingham City vs. Watford - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Birmingham City square off against Watford in the Championship on Saturday afternoon having recorded back-to-back victories over top-six sides.

The Hornets, who currently sit in third spot, ended a two-game winless streak in midweek as they comfortably got the better of Rotherham United.


Match preview

Birmingham City manager Aitor Karanka pictured on October 4, 2020© Reuters

While Aitor Karanka's style of football does not necessarily lend itself to facing teams in the bottom half of the table, they are proving to be effective against opposition further up the standings.

Few people would have given Blues a chance of recording maximum points at Bristol City and Reading, but Karanka's side were good value for their wins at Ashton Gate and the Madejski Stadium.

The latter result came with Birmingham being at a player disadvantage for the final 20 minutes, leaving the Spaniard delighted with the application of his hard-working team.

Although they remain down in 15th position, the West Midlands outfit are now 10 points above the relegation zone, easing the pressure ahead of their next outing.

Blues fans are excited to see former Barcelona youngster Alen Halilovic feature in games such as this one, although the arrival of the Croatian appears to have lifted the performance levels of Jon Toral.

Like Karanka, Vladimir Ivic is having to work hard to win over supporters at Vicarage Road after prioritising the team's efforts in defence.

However, despite the criticism which has been directed at the Serbian, Watford now sit in third position in the table with the second-best backline in the division.

A couple of below-par performances is all it would take for Ivic to be further scrutinised, but the summer arrival will remain confident that he has found the right formula with his Hornets squad.

Troy Deeney ended his wait for a goal from open play against Rotherham, finally netting after a barren spell of 351 minutes since the start of the campaign.

Birmingham City Championship form: DDDLWW

Watford Championship form: DDWDLW


Team News

Watford manager Vladimir Ivic pictured in November 2020© Reuters

The extra day of recovery may convince Ivic to name the same Watford side from the win over Rotherham United.

However, the Hornets boss is not short of alternatives with James Garner, Will Hughes and Joao Pedro all hopeful of being brought into the team.

Birmingham will have to make do without Harlee Dean, who was sent off for two yellow cards against the Royals.

Mikel San Jose is expected to be brought in as his replacement, but that could prove to be the only change to the starting XI.

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Etheridge; Colin, Roberts, San Jose, Pedersen; Kieftenbeld, Sunjic; Sanchez, Toral, Leko; Hogan

Watford possible starting lineup:
Foster; Ngakia, Troost-Ekong, Kabasele, Femenia; Sarr, Cleverley, Chalobah, Sema; Perica, Deeney


SM words green background

We say: Birmingham City 1-1 Watford

Neither side have been particularly impressive in the final third this season, leading us to think that defences could come out on top at St Andrew's. To a certain extent, a low-scoring draw would be deemed acceptable by both managers, and that is how this game could pan out at the weekend.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:425842:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect6303:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Watford in this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Birmingham vs Watford

Birmingham City
30.4%
Draw
37.0%
Watford
32.6%
46
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Watford manager Vladimir Ivic pictured in November 2020
Read Next:
Vladimir Ivic urges Watford to be "serious" until the last minute
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!