MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 16:16:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Parque
Fortaleza

Palmeiras
3 - 1
Fortaleza

Rios (8'), Veiga (76'), Lopes (90+6')
Piquerez (79'), Rafael (81'), Weverton (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martin Lucero (45' pen.)
Marcelo (6'), Titi (9'), P. Vojvoda (72'), Sasha (75'), Welison (78'), Britez (82'), Romero (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Palmeiras 3-0 Fortaleza

Fortaleza have been on the receiving end of numerous lopsided results at Allianz Parque, and they are catching Palestra at a bad time once again. Unfortunately for the visitors, we believe they might suffer a similar fate this weekend against a Verdao team who rarely show mercy to the Ceara-based club when they come to town. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 11.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawFortaleza
69.53% (-0.125 -0.13) 19.16% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 11.3% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-0.254 -0.25)47.82% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (-0.236 -0.24)70% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (-0.114 -0.11)12.6% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.29% (-0.231 -0.23)38.71% (0.227 0.23)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.97% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)50.03% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.32% (-0.064 -0.06)84.68% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 69.53%
    Fortaleza 11.3%
    Draw 19.16%
PalmeirasDrawFortaleza
2-0 @ 13.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 13.06% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9.34% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.84% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 69.53%
1-1 @ 9.05% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.24% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.16%
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.51% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 11.3%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Fortaleza

Palmeiras
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Fortaleza
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 31, 2023 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Fortaleza
1-0
Palmeiras

Ferreira (38'), Rony (38'), Piquerez (57'), Navarro (75'), Weverton (87')
Ferreira (77')
Nov 3, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Palmeiras
4-0
Fortaleza
Rony (15', 48'), Dudu (32'), Endrick (64')
Jul 10, 2022 10pm
Nov 20, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 34
Fortaleza
1-0
Palmeiras
Robson (39')
David (6'), Marcelo (13'), Jussa (50')

Rafael (45+3'), Gomez (90+2')
Aug 8, 2021 1am
Gameweek 15
Palmeiras
2-3
Fortaleza
Titi (12' og.), Willian (34')
Renan (21'), Rafael (45'), Gomez (57'), Luis (79'), de Paula (84')
Luis (90')
Marcelo (18'), Robson (25'), Torres (90+4')
Felipe (36'), Torres (90+6')
Felipe (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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