Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo1 - 0Palmeiras
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Fluminense
Saturday, July 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
24
We said: Sao Paulo 1-1 Palmeiras
We can see Tuesday's showdown being a close-fought battle between two fierce rivals, with both sides expected to settle for a draw ahead of a pivotal second leg later this month. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Palmeiras |
48.25% ( 0.04) | 25.41% ( -0.02) | 26.34% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
