Fortaleza2 - 1Atletico Mineiro
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, June 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
for
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
We said: Fortaleza 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
This will likely be a cagey match between two teams who have made a strong start to the season, but Fortaleza will head in as the favourites due to their performances overall. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortaleza in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fortaleza.
Result | ||
Fortaleza | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
41.08% ( -0.28) | 27.31% ( 0.08) | 31.61% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 49.13% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.76% ( -0.25) | 56.24% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.71% ( -0.2) | 77.28% ( 0.2) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.08% ( -0.27) | 26.92% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% ( -0.35) | 62.24% ( 0.35) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.23% ( 0.01) | 32.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.67% ( 0.01) | 69.33% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Fortaleza | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
1-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.61% |
How you voted: Fortaleza vs Atletico Mineiro
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59 | 29 | 30 | 79 |
2 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 38 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 73 |
3 | FlamengoFlamengo | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 70 |
4 | FortalezaFortaleza | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 68 |
5 | InternacionalInternacional | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 65 |
6 | Sao Paulo | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 59 |
7 | Corinthians | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 56 |
8 | Bahia | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Cruzeiro | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 52 |
10 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 50 |
11 | Vitoria | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 47 |
12 | Atletico Mineiro | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 47 |
13 | Fluminense | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 46 |
14 | Gremio | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 45 |
15 | JuventudeJuventude | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 45 |
16 | BragantinoBragantino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 44 |
17 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 42 |
18 | CriciumaCriciuma | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 38 |
19 | Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 30 |
20 | Cuiaba | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 30 |
> Brasileiro Full Table |