MX23RW : Wednesday, February 12 14:55:13| >> :60:362:362:
Benfica
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Bayern logo

Benfica
0 - 4
Bayern


Otamendi (45'), Mario (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sane (70', 84'), Everton (80' og.), Lewandowski (82')
Upamecano (56'), Hernandez (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawBayern Munich
29.88%21.46%48.66%
Both teams to score 68.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.3%30.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.97%52.03%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88%21.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05%53.95%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74%13.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.96%40.04%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 29.88%
    Bayern Munich 48.66%
    Draw 21.46%
BenficaDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.84%
1-0 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.58%
3-1 @ 3.55%
2-0 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.88%
1-1 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 6.91%
0-0 @ 2.8%
3-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 8.89%
1-3 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 5.71%
0-1 @ 5.66%
2-3 @ 4.66%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-4 @ 3.03%
2-4 @ 2.35%
0-4 @ 1.95%
1-5 @ 1.22%
3-4 @ 1.22%
2-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 48.66%

How you voted: Benfica vs Bayern

Benfica
10.5%
Draw
6.1%
Bayern Munich
83.4%
506
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Robben (13', 30'), Lewandowski (36', 51'), Ribery (76')
Robben (24'), Ribery (33')
Fernandes (46')
Semedo (87')
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern

Fejsa (22'), Jardel (39')
Lewandowski (10'), Sanches (54')
Kimmich (18'), Hummels (52')
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-0
Benfica
rhs 2.0
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
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5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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