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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Swansea logo

Norwich
2 - 2
Swansea

Sara (34'), Sargent (45+3')
Gunn (53'), McCallum (77'), McLean (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Paterson (24'), Grimes (53' pen.)
Paterson (45'), Cullen (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Swansea City

This has the makings of an entertaining encounter given that Swansea have been one of the form teams in the division over the past couple of weeks. However, we cannot ignore Norwich's home form, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph for the Canaries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Swansea City win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
57.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 21.79% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 20.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.16% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.8% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)41.19% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)63.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)14.17% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)41.85% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)70.03% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 57.3%
    Swansea City 20.91%
    Draw 21.79%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.79%
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 20.91%

How you voted: Norwich vs Swansea

Norwich City
67.3%
Draw
19.2%
Swansea City
13.5%
52
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Swansea
2-1
Norwich
Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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