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Athletic Bilbao logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 16, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
vs.
Osasuna

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Barcelona
Wednesday, January 8 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Osasuna
Sunday, January 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We say: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Osasuna

San Mames is widely regarded as one of the toughest grounds in Spain for teams to visit, and we think Athletic will make full use of home advantage at their Catherdal to get the better of an Osasuna side that have failed to win their four away games against top-flight opposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw has a probability of 24.4% and a win for Osasuna has a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Osasuna win it is 0-1 (6.95%).

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
54.92% (3.415 3.42) 24.37% (-0.792 -0.79) 20.71% (-2.618 -2.62)
Both teams to score 48.65% (-0.964 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.64% (0.408 0.41)52.35% (-0.405 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.96% (0.353 0.35)74.04% (-0.348 -0.35)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03% (1.521 1.52)18.97% (-1.516 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.5% (2.467 2.47)50.5% (-2.462 -2.46)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.04% (-2.357 -2.36)39.96% (2.361 2.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.39% (-2.233 -2.23)76.61% (2.237 2.24)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 54.92%
    Osasuna 20.71%
    Draw 24.36%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 12.6% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 10.47% (0.79 0.79)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.8% (0.687 0.69)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.319 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.384 0.38)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.229 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 54.92%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.39 -0.39)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.582 -0.58)
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.541 -0.54)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.496 -0.5)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.227 -0.23)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.71%

Who will win Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna?

Athletic Bilbao
Osasuna
Athletic Bilbao
0.0%
Osasuna
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Osasuna
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Torro (25')
Guruzeta (31'), Berenguer (74')
Guruzeta (87')
Aug 3, 2024 7.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Osasuna
Djalo (19'), Williams (65')
Berchiche (57')
Garcia (26')
Pena (57')
May 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Osasuna
Williams (58'), Villalibre (90+6')
Berchiche (22'), Herrera (45+2')
Garcia (40'), Garcia (47')
Herrando (34'), Ibanez (55'), Catena (73'), Garcia (90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Osasuna
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Garcia (59')
Avila (90+4')
Williams (11'), Guruzeta (20')
Lekue (38'), Sancet (47'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Simon (90+4')
Sancet (59')
May 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 36
Osasuna
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Budimir (50'), Torro (77')
Torro (31'), Budimir (66'), Ibanez (84')

de Marcos (15'), Berenguer (74'), Vivian (76')
rhs 2.0
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