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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 77.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 8.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Rotherham United |
77.57% | 14.12% ( 0) | 8.3% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.66% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.44% ( -0.04) | 33.56% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.63% ( -0.05) | 55.36% ( 0.04) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.99% ( -0.01) | 7.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.36% ( -0.02) | 25.64% ( 0.02) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.41% ( -0.04) | 46.59% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.82% ( -0.03) | 82.17% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.19% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 77.56% | 1-1 @ 6.63% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 14.12% | 1-2 @ 2.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.32% Total : 8.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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