We say: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Wrexham
Winning just one of their last seven away matches across all competitions, promotion-chasing Wrexham are unlikely to cruise to victory at The Croud Meadow on Thursday night.
As shown by their antics against Birmingham in November, Ainsworth's Shrewsbury enjoy rising to the challenge of a top team, although we feel that they will fall short in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wrexham win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw has a probability of 25.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town has a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it is 1-0 (7.99%).