MX23RW : Thursday, January 16 18:55:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Swansea logo

Plymouth
1 - 2
Swansea

Bundu (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fulton (44'), Cullen (60')
Key (20'), Peart-Harris (90+3'), Vipotnik (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, December 7 at 3.15pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 0-2 Swansea City

Plymouth are in dreadful form heading into this game, while Swansea will be boosted by their recent performances and results, leading us to believe the visitors will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swansea City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSwansea City
29.59% (0.155 0.16) 23.83% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 46.57% (-0.185 -0.19)
Both teams to score 59.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.55% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)42.44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.15% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)64.85% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (0.078999999999994 0.08)27.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (0.103 0.1)62.57% (-0.104 -0.1)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)18.43% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (-0.158 -0.16)49.6% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 29.59%
    Swansea City 46.57%
    Draw 23.83%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.53% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.59%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.26% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 46.57%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Swansea

Plymouth Argyle
32.1%
Draw
11.3%
Swansea City
56.6%
53
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swansea
0-1
Plymouth

Cabango (22'), Cooper (71')
Whittaker (18')
Hazard (71'), Gyabi (76'), Miller (82')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Plymouth
1-3
Swansea
Cundle (18')
Whittaker (55'), Kesler (79')
Yates (56'), Cooper (68'), Key (90')
Jul 12, 2022 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Plymouth
1-1
Swansea
Hardie (89')
Piroe (6')
Aug 24, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Swansea
4-1
Plymouth
Williams (29'), Whittaker (79', 86', 90')
Manning (39'), Bennett (51')
Shirley (63')
Jul 20, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Swansea
Hardie (47')
Whittaker (23'), Naughton (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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